Archived: Baseball’s Best & Worst RunLine Bets


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Baseball’s Best & Worst RunLine Bets

With over half of MLB’s 2022 season already played, we have a pretty good sense of which teams are the competitors, which are battling inconsistencies and the ones that are, to put it nicely, bad – I’m looking at you Washington Nationals.

So, as the season progresses, and odds get more obvious the profits start to dwindle away. Well, until you start making runline bets. The best part? We have all you need to know for this season’s up-to-date data, including which teams will give you the best payout and the ones you need to run away from.

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Betting moneyline favorites in baseball isn’t always worth it and we can’t always put faith in the underdogs. But betting the -1.5 runline is a great way to get more bang for your buck. Using the Toronto Blue Jays as an example, if they were -110 on the moneyline in a game vs the Boston Red Sox, but +175 on the runline and went on to win the game 6-2, here’s how the profits would look:

Difference in profits based on a $100 bet: Moneyline $90.91, Runline $175

So before you make that boring, unlucrative moneyline wager, check out our list of the best and worst runline bets in baseball and watch your profits soar. Don’t worry, we did all the hard work for you.

Best Runlines: Baltimore Orioles, Los Angeles Dodgers, Texas Rangers Best Bets

One look at the chart and you’ll see the Orioles are the most reliable team in the league for runline bets with their 64.6 per cent record. If you were betting on Baltimore’s runline since the start of the season, you’d already have a $2,134 profit – think about how many more bets you could be placing with that extra cash.

You might be thinking, Baltimore isn’t even good this season, holding a 50-49 record. But they clearly know how to keep it interesting and keep the scoreboard tight. It’s the same scenario with Texas (44-54), they may not be reliable on the moneyline but its $902 profit on the runline is hard to pass up.

The Dodgers, on the other hand, ranking No. 1 in the NL West with an impressive 66-32 record, are a great squad. So, its not a surprise their season’s runline is offering a $1,738 profit. They’re often winning over opponents by a few runs, including their 13-0 victory over the Colorado Rockies on July 28.

Worst Runlines: Milwaukee Brewers, Washington Nationals Teams To Avoid

Any team nearing the bottom of our charts has nothing to offer you or your wallet. If you haven’t been betting on the Brewers and Nationals runlines then you’ve saved yourself a lot of money, if you have been betting on them then I’m sorry you didn’t read this sooner.

Again, having terrible runline stats doesn’t make you a bad team. Just like having good runline stats doesn’t automatically make you a good team. It’s all about doing your homework to discover where the money is hiding.

Milwaukee (55-44), for example, is steady this season ranking first in the NL Central. But, when they lose, they lose by quite a bit. Just like when they win, they tend to barely claim victory. Being 41.4 per cent on the runline, you would be down $2,096 over halfway through the season. So, if you want to keep your money then avoid the bottom of the list at all costs.

Team Profit Runline Record Wins by 2+ Runs Losses by 2+ Runs
Orioles 1685.92 53-31 (63.1%) 27 29
Dodgers 1165.59 48-34 (58.54%) 48 21
Mets 1161.31 46-37 (55.42%) 41 22
Red Sox 782.92 46-37 (55.42%) 34 25
Rangers 776.31 47-33 (58.75%) 33 26
Astros 636.96 44-38 (53.66%) 39 22
Cardinals 506.60 46-39 (54.12%) 34 30
Diamondbacks 111.66 46-37 (55.42%) 25 33
Braves 106.71 44-40 (52.38%) 38 25
Yankees -25.35 42-41 (50.6%) 42 16
Phillies -44.75 42-41 (50.6%) 36 26
Guardians -296.58 40-40 (50%) 26 31
Giants -323.14 39-42 (48.15%) 31 23
Mariners -358.56 43-41 (51.19%) 26 30
Rockies -388.31 42-41 (50.6%) 24 36
Marlins -536.63 41-40 (50.62%) 25 25
Angels -559.40 38-46 (45.24%) 32 33
Rays -611.59 39-43 (47.56%) 30 23
Cubs -620.62 42-41 (50.6%) 24 34
Tigers -645.58 40-42 (48.78%) 25 38
Padres -652.30 41-43 (48.81%) 33 27
Twins -672.43 39-46 (45.88%) 33 26
Pirates -913.59 39-44 (46.99%) 22 40
White Sox -1004.47 37-44 (45.68%) 25 33
Athletics -1202.76 40-44 (47.62%) 23 40
Brewers -1288.24 37-47 (44.05%) 32 26
Blue Jays -1378.63 36-48 (42.86%) 26 27
Reds -1471.85 36-47 (43.37%) 20 44
Royals -1863.39 35-46 (43.21%) 22 43
Nationals -1932.01 35-50 (41.18%) 22 44
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