Week 1 NFL ATS Betting Trends

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 13

MIAMI AT NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • Prior to upset in Week 17 last December, Dolphins had lost and failed to cover previous seven at Gillette Stadium, and had lost 10 in a row outright at Foxborough.
  • Dolphins closed fast in 2019, covering 9 of last 12, all as dog.
  • Patriots dropped 5 of last 7 vs. number in 2019, and now “under” 19-10 since mid 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to Patriots and “under,” based on extended trends

CLEVELAND AT BALTIMORE
(CBS, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • • Head coach Kevin Stefanski debut for Browns.
    • Ravens closed 2019 regular season winning last 12 outright and covering 8 of last 9.
    • Browns, however, did deal Baltimore its only regular season home loss in Week 4 and have covered last two at M&T Bank Stadium.
    • Cleveland only covered 4 of last 12 a season ago after that win over Ravens.

Tech Edge: Ravens, based on recent trends

NY JETS AT BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • • Road team has won and covered last four meetings.
    • Bills were just 1-4 vs. spread at Orchard Park last season.
    • Buffalo on 23-9 “under” run since early 2018.
    • Jets “under” 5-1 last six in 2019.

Tech Edge: Jets and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends

LAS VEGAS AT CAROLINA (CBS, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • • Head coach Matt Rhule debut for Panthers.
    • Raiders lost 5 of last 6 SU and dropped 5 of last 7 vs. line in 2019.
    • Also “under” 6-1 last 7 in 2019, and “under” 21-11 since 2018.
    • Panthers however closed 2019 dropping last 8 outright and just 1-6-1 vs. spread in those games, and only 3-7-1 vs. number last 11 at Charlotte since mid 2018.
    • Panthers “over” 11-5 last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Raiders, based on team trends

SEATTLE AT ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • • Seahawks on 9-3-1 spread run away from CenturyLink Field in regular season.
    • Visiting team is 12-4-1 vs. number in Seattle regular-season games since late 2018.
    • Falcons covered last 4 and 7 of last 9 in 2019, also winning 6 of last 8 outright.
    • ‘Hawks “over” 16-8 in regular season play since mid 2018.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends

PHILADELPHIA AT WASHINGTON
(FOX, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • • Head coach Ron Rivera debut for Washington (if he’s healthy).
    • Philly has won and covered last four in series, both meetings “over” last season.
    • Washington 2-8 vs. points last 10 at FedEx Field.

Tech Edge: Eagles, based on team and series trends

CHICAGO AT DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • • Bears have won all four meetings since 2018, covering three of those.
    • Though note Chicago enters 2020 on a 4-13 spread skid.
    • Bears were 1-7 vs. line as visitor in 2019 after winning and covering 4 of last 5 away in 2018.
    • Lions dropped last nine outright a year ago and covered just 2 of last 11 in 2019.
    • Detroit also “under” 11-2 last 13 at Ford Field.

Tech Edge: Slight to Bears and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends

INDIANAPOLIS AT JACKSONVILLE
(CBS, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • • Jags lost and failed to cover 6 of last 8 a year ago.
    • But they have won and covered last four as series host vs. Colts (five if counting London game in 2016) and were 3-1 vs. line getting 6 or more points a year ago.
    • Jags 8-1-1 vs. number against Indy since 2015.

Tech Edge: Jags, based on series trends

GREEN BAY AT MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 P.M. ET)

• • • Packers won and covered both meetings last season.
    • Vikings however have won and covered last four and five of six openers under Mike Zimmer.
    • “Unders” 9-2 last 11 in series.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on series trends

L.A. CHARGERS AT CINCINNATI (CBS, 4:05 P.M. ET)

• • • Chargers fell apart late 2019, losing and failing to cover 6 of last 7.
    • Bolts 3-7 vs. line last ten away from home, and just 1-8 laying points a year ago.
    • Cincy only 3-10-1 vs. spread last 14 at Paul Brown Stadium but was 3-2-1 last six as dog in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Bengals, based on team trends

ARIZONA AT SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:25 P.M. ET)

• • • Cards played Niners tough last season and very unfortunate to get push out of second meeting after covering in desert.
    • Big Red 4-0-1 vs. spread last five in series and on 11-5-1 spread uptick since late 2018.
    • Cards 6-1-1 vs. spread away in 2019, now 7-1-1 vs. line last nine as a visitor.
    • Niners were just 3-4-1 vs. spread at home in regular season of 2019.

Tech Edge: Cards, based on series and team trends

TAMPA BAY AT NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 4:25 P.M. ET)

• • • Bruce Arians only 5-10-1 vs. line in his Bucs debut season a year ago.
    • Note – his second year at Arizona in 2014 produced 11-5 SU and spread marks.
    • Bucs “over” 12-4 in 2019, Arians teams now “over” 27-12 dating back to mid 2016 with Cards.
    • Over now 5-2 last seven in this series.
    • Saints only 4-9 vs. number last 11 at Superdome.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Bucs, based on “totals” and team trends.

DALLAS AT L.A. RAMS (NBC, 8:20 P.M. ET)

• • • Rams open new SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.
    • Cowboys won big 44-21 last December vs. LA at Arlington.
    • Dallas “over” 22-12 since 2018, both meetings vs. Rams “over” past two years.
    • Rams were only 5-9 vs. spread their last 14 as host at Coliseum.
    • McVay has covered in openers the past three seasons.

Tech Edge: Slight to “over” and Rams, based on “totals” and team trends

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 14

PITTSBURGH AT NY GIANTS (ESPN, 7:15 P.M. ET)

• • • Head coach Joe Judge debut for New York.
    • Steelers “under” 12-4 last season (almost all of it minus Big Ben), now “under” 17-6 last 23 since late 2018.
    • Steel also just 1-6-1 last eight as visiting chalk since 2018.
    • Giants “over” 16-8 since mid 2018 but just 2-8 vs. points last 10 at MetLife.

Tech Edge: Slight to Giants, based on team trends.

TENNESSEE AT DENVER (ESPN, 10:10 P.M. ET)

• • • Broncos blanked Titans 16-0 in Week 6 last season, and quietly covered 8 of last 12 for Fangio in 2019.
    • Denver on 17-7 “under” run since mid 2018 (9-7 “under’ in 2019).
    • Titans covered 5 of their last 6 on road down the stretch last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends