Updated Expected MLB Win Totals & Betting Odds


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Spring training is well underway and oddsmakers have adjusted their win total projections for each of the 30 MLB teams. Of course, we wouldn’t be writing about this if you couldn’t bet on it, so let’s take a dive into some of the better plays.

How many wins is Bryce Harper worth to the Phillies? Five, according to the Phillies’ new win total of 89.5. Before the signing of Harper, the Phillies were expected to win 84.5 games. Since signing Manny Machado, the Padres go from winning 66 games last year to an expected total of 78.5 this season.

The Houston Astros and New York Yankees have the highest expected win totals at 96.5, despite both being bounced in the 2018 playoffs by the Boston Red Sox. Speaking of those Red Sox, they are expected to be in a heated battle for the entire season with those Yankees and have an expected win total of 94.5. That’s right, New York is the AL East favorite.

My Best Picks for 2019 Win Totals

The Cleveland Indians are listed on this table at 90.5 wins despite beginning a sell-off in the offseason that could result in even more bodies leaving town as the season progresses.

Even with a division-leading lineup last season, the Indians finished with 91 wins in a very weak AL Central that is expected to be more competitive this season. I’ll be taking UNDER on the Indians total.

The Toronto Blue Jays finished 2018 with 73 wins and have since parted ways with veterans Russell Martin and Troy Tulowitzki while also trading Aledmys Diaz and letting Yangervis Solarte leave via free agency. With the division expected to be even stronger this season, I expect the Jays to finish below the 74.5 win total being offered at this time.

The Arizona Diamondbacks went into the winter with 23 players filing for free agency, including Patrick Corbin, Jon Jay, Clay Buchholz and A.J. Pollock. They later traded away Paul Goldschmidt. The big offseason signing? Wilmer Flores. I’m taking UNDER 75.5 wins for the Diamondbacks.

Take a look at the full list here:

2019 MLB Regular-season win totals
Team 2018 Wins 2019 Win Total OVER UNDER
Arizona Diamondbacks 82 75.5 -115 -115
Atlanta Braves 90 86.5 +105 -135
Baltimore Orioles 47 59.5 +105 -135
Boston Red Sox 108 94.5 -120 -110
Chicago Cubs 95 88.5 -115 -115
Chicago White Sox 62 74.5 +100 -130
Cincinnati Reds 67 79 EVEN -130
Cleveland Indians 91 90.5 -120 -110
Colorado Rockies 91 84.5 -115 -115
Detroit Tigers 64 68.5 -110 -120
Houston Astros 103 96.5 -120 -110
Kansas City Royals 58 69.5 -115 -115
Los Angeles Angels 80 82.5 -125 -105
Los Angeles Dodgers 92 93.5 -115 -115
Miami Marlins 63 63.5 +100 -130
Milwaukee Brewers 96 86.5 -130 +100
Minnesota Twins 78 84.5 -115 -115
New York Mets 77 85.5 -105 -125
New York Yankees 100 96.5 -145 +115
Oakland A’s 97 83.5 -120 -110
Philadelphia Phillies 80 89.5 +105 -135
Pittsburgh Pirates 82 77.5 +100 -130
San Diego Padres 66 78.5 +100 -130
San Francisco Giants 73 73.5 -115 -115
Seattle Mariners 89 71.5 -130 +100
St. Louis Cardinals 88 88.5 -115 -115
Tampa Bay Rays 90 84.5 -125 -105
Texas Rangers 67 71 -110 -120
Toronto Blue Jays 73 74.5 -115 -115
Washington Nationals 82 88.5 -130 +100

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